Colorado
Every filer who declared a side on at least 25 bills whose outcome is known — 430 of them — ranked by how far their results beat what those same positions would have produced by chance.
In Colorado, between 53% and 93% of lobbied bills pass, depending on the session. So supporting a bill is not the same bet as opposing one, and neither is the same bet in a different year. Expected is how many of that filer's positions would have come out their way at the session's own pass rate. Edge is how much better they did. At least is the bottom of the 95% confidence interval — the part of the edge that survives the sample being small.
Ranked by that floor rather than by edge, because 25 wins from 25 positions is weaker evidence than a smaller edge across 150.
| Filer | Positions | Won | Expected | Edge | ± | At least |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallgren, Kathleen | 25 | 25 | 12 | +51.0% | ±8.0 | +35.4% |
| Perez, Claudia Nicole | 27 | 26 | 13 | +47.2% | ±8.1 | +31.3% |
| Tierney, Martha Moore | 84 | 75 | 46 | +35.0% | ±4.6 | +25.9% |
| Teter, John K Edge | 71 | 68 | 44 | +33.4% | ±4.8 | +24.1% |
| Sloan, Ronald C | 58 | 48 | 28 | +33.7% | ±5.9 | +22.0% |
| Richard G Brown Enterprises, Inc. | 154 | 131 | 88 | +27.8% | ±3.6 | +20.9% |
| Collective Strategies | 40 | 27 | 14 | +32.9% | ±6.7 | +19.8% |
| Hatton, Kiera | 25 | 21 | 12 | +36.2% | ±8.4 | +19.7% |
| Trimpa Group | 48 | 34 | 19 | +30.5% | ±6.1 | +18.6% |
| WALLER, JENIFER | 169 | 123 | 81 | +24.7% | ±3.4 | +18.1% |
| Skewes Government Affairs, LLC | 156 | 118 | 79 | +24.8% | ±3.5 | +18.0% |
| Axiom Strategies Inc | 134 | 104 | 71 | +24.8% | ±4.0 | +16.9% |
| Collective Strategices, LLC | 26 | 18 | 9 | +33.1% | ±8.3 | +16.8% |
| Peper, Dylan | 66 | 54 | 36 | +27.0% | ±5.3 | +16.7% |
| Snow, Erin E | 121 | 96 | 67 | +23.9% | ±3.9 | +16.3% |
| Morgan, Alison Mim Kirk | 80 | 55 | 35 | +25.4% | ±4.7 | +16.1% |
| Kemper, Douglas | 56 | 52 | 37 | +26.0% | ±5.8 | +14.7% |
| The Capstone Group, LLC | 968 | 753 | 585 | +17.3% | ±1.4 | +14.6% |
| HODGES, DANIEL S. | 100 | 73 | 50 | +22.5% | ±4.4 | +13.9% |
| DeLange, Brandy | 42 | 34 | 22 | +27.4% | ±7.0 | +13.6% |
| Lombard & Clayton, Inc. | 211 | 165 | 124 | +19.4% | ±3.1 | +13.4% |
| Polo, Chane Marie | 33 | 31 | 21 | +28.9% | ±7.9 | +13.4% |
| Ascent Strategies, LLC | 84 | 60 | 41 | +22.2% | ±4.7 | +13.0% |
| BRANDEBERRY MCKENNA PUBLIC AFFAIRS | 1,428 | 1,079 | 868 | +14.8% | ±1.1 | +12.6% |
| 76 Group | 60 | 41 | 27 | +23.3% | ±5.5 | +12.5% |
| Ewing, Joshua | 294 | 242 | 191 | +17.3% | ±2.4 | +12.5% |
| Dollar, Meghan Storrie | 128 | 100 | 75 | +19.6% | ±3.7 | +12.3% |
| Denver Human Services | 81 | 74 | 57 | +21.4% | ±4.7 | +12.2% |
| Politicalworks LLC | 801 | 582 | 462 | +15.0% | ±1.5 | +12.0% |
| Zheleznyak, Jacqueline | 188 | 148 | 114 | +18.2% | ±3.2 | +12.0% |
| Michael Best Strategies | 433 | 345 | 276 | +16.0% | ±2.1 | +11.9% |
| OATIS, KATHLEEN ANN | 307 | 241 | 189 | +16.9% | ±2.5 | +11.9% |
| Weist Capitol Group, Inc. | 382 | 277 | 215 | +16.1% | ±2.2 | +11.8% |
| Political Advocacy, Inc | 636 | 487 | 391 | +15.0% | ±1.7 | +11.7% |
| MULREADY, KATHERINE | 240 | 193 | 152 | +17.0% | ±2.7 | +11.7% |
| Furman, Daniel | 261 | 187 | 143 | +16.9% | ±2.6 | +11.7% |
| Pike, Erica | 80 | 71 | 54 | +20.7% | ±4.6 | +11.6% |
| Jerry R Braden Inc. | 71 | 60 | 45 | +21.4% | ±5.0 | +11.5% |
| Colorado Chamber of Commerce | 352 | 221 | 165 | +15.9% | ±2.3 | +11.4% |
| Colorado District Attorneys' Council | 212 | 167 | 130 | +17.3% | ±3.0 | +11.4% |
| Orf & Orf PC | 595 | 399 | 312 | +14.7% | ±1.8 | +11.3% |
| Aloria Governmental Affairs | 146 | 118 | 91 | +18.3% | ±3.6 | +11.3% |
| Angie Binder | 71 | 44 | 29 | +21.3% | ±5.1 | +11.3% |
| RUZZIN, MARK | 395 | 317 | 256 | +15.4% | ±2.1 | +11.2% |
| Garcia, Vanessa Jeanette | 50 | 46 | 35 | +22.6% | ±5.8 | +11.2% |
| Education Reform Now Advocacy | 93 | 84 | 66 | +19.6% | ±4.3 | +11.1% |
| Gervais, Daphne Sarah | 48 | 45 | 34 | +23.2% | ±6.2 | +11.1% |
| Ratliff and Associates | 101 | 75 | 55 | +19.6% | ±4.4 | +11.1% |
| Orf & Orf P.C. | 571 | 380 | 297 | +14.5% | ±1.8 | +11.0% |
| Axiom Strategies Inc dba Axiom Politics | 464 | 323 | 254 | +15.0% | ±2.0 | +11.0% |
| DOME STRATEGIES | 203 | 138 | 104 | +16.8% | ±3.0 | +10.9% |
| Siegel Long Public Affairs, LLC | 1,211 | 918 | 758 | +13.2% | ±1.2 | +10.8% |
| Cannon, Leslie M | 48 | 37 | 26 | +22.5% | ±6.0 | +10.8% |
| Brownstein Hyatt Farber Schreck, LLP | 353 | 251 | 197 | +15.2% | ±2.3 | +10.7% |
| MANDARICH, MARY ALICE | 191 | 148 | 116 | +16.8% | ±3.2 | +10.7% |
| Gold Dome Access, LLC | 152 | 109 | 82 | +17.5% | ±3.5 | +10.7% |
| Capitol Focus, LLC | 598 | 420 | 336 | +14.1% | ±1.8 | +10.6% |
| Hiltz, Allison | 97 | 87 | 69 | +18.7% | ±4.2 | +10.6% |
| Bergman, Eric H | 139 | 105 | 80 | +17.6% | ±3.7 | +10.5% |
| Hoover, Nicholas Adam | 51 | 39 | 28 | +22.5% | ±6.1 | +10.5% |
A negative edge often means a filer opposes bills that were going to pass anyway, or represents clients on the losing side of settled politics. It is not a measure of competence.
| Filer | Positions | Won | Expected | Edge | ± | At least |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Square State Strategy Group (Margo Radach) | 169 | 62 | 96 | -20.2% | ±3.3 | -26.6% |
| Vessely, Brittany Lena | 147 | 72 | 96 | -16.2% | ±3.5 | -23.0% |
| Rhodes, Taylor D. | 47 | 12 | 20 | -17.5% | ±6.1 | -29.4% |
| KRASKA, JENNIFER M | 35 | 16 | 22 | -17.2% | ±7.4 | -31.6% |
| Cole, Nephi J | 35 | 10 | 16 | -16.2% | ±7.2 | -30.2% |
| RATAJ, CHRISTIAN JOHN | 29 | 10 | 15 | -18.0% | ±8.3 | -34.2% |
| Couture-Lovelady, Travis | 39 | 8 | 13 | -13.8% | ±6.9 | -27.3% |
| Blaney, Emmett R | 25 | 14 | 18 | -17.1% | ±8.7 | -34.0% |
| Westerson, Caitlin Nichole | 104 | 61 | 68 | -6.8% | ±4.4 | -15.4% |
| Furman Political Strategies | 75 | 41 | 46 | -6.4% | ±4.9 | -16.1% |
| Escalante, Ian C | 28 | 6 | 10 | -12.6% | ±8.2 | -28.7% |
| Western Colorado Alliance | 52 | 29 | 34 | -8.8% | ±6.4 | -21.4% |
| Server, Matthew Kenneth | 110 | 69 | 73 | -3.7% | ±3.9 | -11.4% |
| GAGLIARDI, A. F. (TONY) | 207 | 98 | 102 | -1.8% | ±3.0 | -7.7% |
| Leathwood, Heidi | 41 | 21 | 25 | -9.1% | ±6.8 | -22.4% |
| Michels, Emily Lisle | 77 | 41 | 46 | -6.2% | ±5.4 | -16.9% |
| Myers, Amelia A | 27 | 18 | 21 | -9.8% | ±7.5 | -24.5% |
| Center for Health Progress | 125 | 87 | 89 | -2.0% | ±3.7 | -9.3% |
| JUDY, DEBRA K | 103 | 66 | 69 | -2.6% | ±4.3 | -11.0% |
| SEADER, SANDRA L. | 61 | 38 | 40 | -4.0% | ±5.2 | -14.3% |
| NUNEZ, ELENA M | 25 | 12 | 15 | -12.4% | ±9.5 | -31.0% |
| WALKER, CAROLE | 45 | 21 | 24 | -6.3% | ±6.4 | -18.7% |
| West Group | 87 | 44 | 47 | -3.1% | ±4.8 | -12.6% |
| Ramaswami, Aditi | 55 | 36 | 38 | -4.2% | ±5.4 | -14.7% |
| Moldovan, Karen | 86 | 57 | 60 | -3.0% | ±4.8 | -12.4% |
| Recht Kornfeld, P.C. | 274 | 165 | 160 | +1.9% | ±2.6 | -3.1% |
| Brown, Debra Suzanne | 31 | 26 | 27 | -3.6% | ±5.5 | -14.4% |
| Colorado Family Action | 34 | 15 | 18 | -8.3% | ±8.0 | -24.0% |
| Capitol Solutions/Sandra Hagen Solin | 442 | 246 | 231 | +3.5% | ±2.0 | -0.5% |
| Kemp, Megan | 41 | 25 | 27 | -5.5% | ±6.8 | -18.8% |